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  #1  
Old 22nd June 2011, 01:30 PM
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Default GVK Power & Infrastructure



What's wrong with GVK Power & Infrastructure?

Analyst on tv says to invest but levels at which it's trading doesn't even make me feel to invest.

Net Profit of 35% in march 2010 looks decent.Then why is the share falling?
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  #2  
Old 22nd June 2011, 01:39 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by magnet View Post
What's wrong with GVK Power & Infrastructure?

Analyst on tv says to invest but levels at which it's trading doesn't even make me feel to invest.

Net Profit of 35% in march 2010 looks decent.Then why is the share falling?
You should be knowing the infra story in our market.

All sentiments remain with this too.

Regards.
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  #3  
Old 22nd June 2011, 03:15 PM
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GVK Power may write off advance money on gas shortage for projects - NDTV Profit.
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  #4  
Old 17th September 2011, 10:29 PM
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Originally Posted by reks View Post
You should be knowing the infra story in our market.

All sentiments remain with this too.

Regards.
Can you please elaborate on what the infra story was? Sorry, but I am new to this market and would really like to know your opinion. I am looking to purchase shares of GVK Power.
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  #5  
Old 17th September 2011, 10:39 PM
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Originally Posted by Urbanchild80 View Post
Can you please elaborate on what the infra story was? Sorry, but I am new to this market and would really like to know your opinion. I am looking to purchase shares of GVK Power.
He is referring to the Infra bubble during 2007-2008 peak, where all Infra stocks were trading at astronomical valuations and people subscribing to all possible funds with "infra" in their name.

Like all bubble this one crashed too and investors are yet to recover their capital from those levels.

Do your due diligence before investing.
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  #6  
Old 12th November 2011, 06:31 PM
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Share at 13 level.

Also not before feb end gas allocation to company details will come out.

Again analyst saying if they get gas or after 1 quarter chances of stock jumping looks high.

But I still have same feeling as of Vijay Mallya saying Mukesh buying his stock.
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  #7  
Old 12th November 2011, 08:30 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by magnet View Post
Share at 13 level.

Also not before feb end gas allocation to company details will come out.

Again analyst saying if they get gas or after 1 quarter chances of stock jumping looks high.

But I still have same feeling as of Vijay Mallya saying Mukesh buying his stock.
Sooner and later you will see this stock in one digit.

I would not touch it at all.

Happy Investing!
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  #8  
Old 12th November 2011, 09:04 PM
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Quote:
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Sooner and later you will see this stock in one digit.

I would not touch it at all.

Happy Investing!
Can you explain the reasons for the same ?

Despite the mounting debts (for Coal acqusition in Australia) the company has operational assets in Roads, Airports apart from Power.

One can enter for the long term horizon with ability to digest short term shocks.

Their results for the latest quarter is fair as compared to others like GMR.

Impending threats are of high debt and impending cost increment in Mumbai Airport for airlines and possible loss of business from that effect. GMR is also facing the same problem for Delhi Airport.

Disclaimer: I hold this stock.
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  #9  
Old 13th November 2011, 08:30 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Prudent_Investor View Post
Can you explain the reasons for the same ?

Despite the mounting debts (for Coal acqusition in Australia) the company has operational assets in Roads, Airports apart from Power.

One can enter for the long term horizon with ability to digest short term shocks.

Their results for the latest quarter is fair as compared to others like GMR.

Impending threats are of high debt and impending cost increment in Mumbai Airport for airlines and possible loss of business from that effect. GMR is also facing the same problem for Delhi Airport.

Disclaimer: I hold this stock.
I understand your concern.

Counter is making lows of low if you see the long term chart and ignore the pull back driven by promoters in short term chart.

Company is trying in different different sectors for their survival.

This again makes me to think in deep before investing.

I used to hold the stock on quite higher price and I luckily dumped those days in pull back when charts started to show weak.

Happy Investing
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  #10  
Old 13th November 2011, 11:23 AM
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Also one point to note is all Hyderabad based companies are strict under IT radars.

Because of Jaganmohan connection I feel in future all Hyderabad based companies might be in trouble. Also right now another big 4 firm, Deloitte looks into trouble.
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  #11  
Old 13th November 2011, 05:55 PM
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Corporate Governance is the biggest issue. Nobody knows if there will be any raids/revelations some day.

I have past experiences of similar trauma from Welspun Corp and Everonn.

Let's see how things pan out.

Investment horizon : 5+ years
Current Position: 2025 shares @ 19.88
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  #12  
Old 13th November 2011, 08:31 PM
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As per this month Outlook profit article, here are few reasons of under performance
Quote:
First

The plants, which rely on supplies from Reliance’s gas blocks in the Krishna-Godavari basin, are facing a tough time following a drop in gas output.

This has led to stalled expansion and may lead to a write-off of Rs 130 crore in the GVK books on account of advance given to the EPC contract.

Secondly

The cost of acquisition of the Hancock mines is $1.26 billion, payable in a phased manner. For this acquisition, loans worth $1 billion at LIBOR + 500 bps (approximately 5.5 percent) have been tied up. However, to tie up debt of $1 billion for the coal mine, the corporate guarantee has been provided by GVK (49 per cent) and GVK Natural Resources PteLtd. Additionally, GVK will pledge the shares of GVK Energy Ltd and GVK Transportation Ltd for the debt tied-up. While analysts say this will be a negative for GVK shareholders, George says the pledge was necessary to secure the loans for the acquisition,"Acquisition transactions are always leveraged.

A clear picture on how leveraged the company is will be revealed only when the FY12 numbers are out. It would be advisable to wait for FY12 numbers before taking the plunge.
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  #13  
Old 17th November 2011, 02:44 PM
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Quote:
Sooner and later you will see this stock in one digit.
Only 0.40 Rs away from single digit.

Happy Investing!
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  #14  
Old 17th November 2011, 06:17 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by San Yad View Post
Only 0.40 Rs away from single digit.

Happy Investing!
Will buy 100 shares once it touches that level.
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  #15  
Old 18th November 2011, 07:55 AM
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Quote:
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Will buy 100 shares once it touches that level.
Hopefully you will get it today itself. .
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  #16  
Old 18th November 2011, 08:06 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by magnet View Post
Will buy 100 shares once it touches that level.
In short term, it's not a bad idea. .

Happy Investing!
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  #17  
Old 16th December 2011, 05:00 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by magnet View Post
Will buy 100 shares once it touches that level.
Single digit target achieved. Are are there already?

Did you enter?

But I see more downside for this stock.

Happy Investing!
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  #18  
Old 17th December 2011, 08:58 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by San Yad View Post
Single digit target achieved. Are are there already?

Did you enter?

But I see more downside for this stock.

Happy Investing!
No. Actually everyday I used to keep a target of 100 shares for 9.80.

Yesterday when I left my place at 1 pm the market was up by 150+ point and I wasn't positive the market will fall hence kept no shares to buy from main account.

Now buy target will be 9. But I also have a feel if bearish move is long it might touch 6-7 rupees. But entry will be made around 9 for me.
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  #19  
Old 14th May 2012, 04:11 PM
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Technically is this a good time to enter? It's at 11ish and the last time it came down to 9 it bounced to levels of 16. Any views?
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  #20  
Old 15th May 2012, 04:47 PM
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Avoid GVK Power, huge debt, no triggers for immediate recovery.

Best bet for infra now is L&T.
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  #21  
Old 15th May 2012, 07:46 PM
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All power companies on avoid list.

If still hell-bent to invest chose from this three - Adani, JSW Energy and Rel Power. Also Tata Power is good to survive long.

I guess if D6 matter becomes total loss in coming times all such players will cease to exist.
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