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  #1  
Old 26th December 2010, 12:21 AM
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Default Niki_baroda's Portfolio






I need expert advice, If expert see my portfolio, I am in red zone. What shall I do? Any expert advice for sell/buy to get better option's to revise my portfolio?
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  #2  
Old 26th December 2010, 09:13 AM
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I will advice you not to seek any expert opinion.

First decide if you want to invest for short term/long term/ultra long term.

Then read a book accordingly. Then take proper decissions based on your analysis.

Listen to what others have to say but don't follow them blindly.

You can start today.

As far as this portfolio is concerned, exit the stocks you are not comfortable with.

No expert will be tracking all the companies mentioned.

Finally, be resposible for your own investments. Don't blame others.
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  #3  
Old 26th December 2010, 12:17 PM
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First thing I will say is reduce the no. of stocks. Too many to track.
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  #4  
Old 26th December 2010, 01:11 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nitinku5021a View Post
First thing I will say is reduce the no. of stocks. Too many to track.
Can somebody tell me which stocks are non-performer & I should exit, I don't know much @ fundamentals of few companies. Seek expert opinion, I don't need money now, I can hold money for long time, But i am seriously thinking to switch from non-performing stocks to well performing stocks?
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  #5  
Old 26th December 2010, 03:04 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by niki_baroda View Post
Can somebody tell me which stocks are non-performer & I should exit, I don't know much @ fundamentals of few companies. Seek expert opinion, I don't need money now, I can hold money for long time, But i am seriously thinking to switch from non-performing stocks to well performing stocks?
Create the Portfolio (With Dates and Actual Prices) in MoneyControl.

You would be able to analyze Quarterly/Yearly Results, Fundamentals, News, Notices, High-Lows, Moving Averages, Volumes etc for all stocks at one place.

Check out the Sectoral weight and try to restructure using a Top Down ( Sector > Stock) approach rather than bottom up ( Stock > Sector ) approach.
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  #6  
Old 26th December 2010, 09:31 PM
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I have looked at your portfolio and this is what I would do:

1)Indian Bank -> HOLD.

2)Indiabulls -> HOLD.

3)INTERFACE FINANCIAL SERVICES LTD -> EXIT.

4)Reliance Capital -> EXIT.

5)Jaiprakash Associates -> EXIT.

6)ABB -> EXIT.

7)Crompton Greaves -> HOLD.

8)Larsen -> HOLD.

9)Punj Lloyd -> EXIT.

10)Gold BEEs -> HOLD.

11)Educomp -> EXIT.

12)INTRASOFT TECHNOLOGIES LTD -> EXIT.

13)Satyam Computers -> EXIT.

14)Austral COke -> EXIT.

15)ISPAT -> EXIT.

16)BS Transcomm. -> EXIT.

17)Everest Kanto -> EXIT.

18)Geodesic -> EXIT.

19)Lanco Infra -> EXIT.

20)MOIL -> HOLD.

21)Nandan Exim -> EXIT.

22)Tarapur Transformers Ltd -> EXIT.

23)Vishal Exports -> EXIT.

24)Lotus Eye Care -> EXIT.

25)Mavens Biotech -> EXIT.

26)Indiabulls Power -> EXIT.

27)Indosolar -> EXIT.

28)J P Hydro -> EXIT.

29)NHPC -> EXIT.

30)NTPC -> HOLD.

31)Reliance Power -> EXIT.

32)Suryachakra Power -> EXIT.

33)Suzlon -> EXIT.

34)Reliance Ind. -> HOLD.

35)Gujarat Pipavav Port -> EXIT.

36)Pipavav Shipyard -> EXIT.

37)SCI -> EXIT.

38)Bharti Airtel -> HOLD.

39)Reliance Communications -> EXIT.

Sometimes when things get this messy, one needs to reassess and start again.

"Good judgment comes from experience, and often experience comes from bad judgment."- Rita Mae Brown.
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  #7  
Old 26th December 2010, 10:41 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kris_mar View Post
I have looked at your portfolio and this is what I would do:

1)Indian Bank -> HOLD.

2)Indiabulls -> HOLD.

3)INTERFACE FINANCIAL SERVICES LTD -> EXIT.

4)Reliance Capital -> EXIT.

5)Jaiprakash Associates -> EXIT.

6)ABB -> EXIT.

7)Crompton Greaves -> HOLD.

8)Larsen -> HOLD.

9)Punj Lloyd -> EXIT.

10)Gold BEEs -> HOLD.

11)Educomp -> EXIT.

12)INTRASOFT TECHNOLOGIES LTD -> EXIT.

13)Satyam Computers -> EXIT.

14)Austral COke -> EXIT.

15)ISPAT -> EXIT.

16)BS Transcomm. -> EXIT.

17)Everest Kanto -> EXIT.

18)Geodesic -> EXIT.

19)Lanco Infra -> EXIT.

20)MOIL -> HOLD.

21)Nandan Exim -> EXIT.

22)Tarapur Transformers Ltd -> EXIT.

23)Vishal Exports -> EXIT.

24)Lotus Eye Care -> EXIT.

25)Mavens Biotech -> EXIT.

26)Indiabulls Power -> EXIT.

27)Indosolar -> EXIT.

28)J P Hydro -> EXIT.

29)NHPC -> EXIT.

30)NTPC -> HOLD.

31)Reliance Power -> EXIT.

32)Suryachakra Power -> EXIT.

33)Suzlon -> EXIT.

34)Reliance Ind. -> HOLD.

35)Gujarat Pipavav Port -> EXIT.

36)Pipavav Shipyard -> EXIT.

37)SCI -> EXIT.

38)Bharti Airtel -> HOLD.

39)Reliance Communications -> EXIT.

Sometimes when things get this messy,one needs to reassess and start again.

"Good judgment comes from experience, and often experience comes from bad judgment."- Rita Mae Brown.
Thanks "kris mar" for advice , Will you tell me after selling I will get approx 1.5 lacs surplus, in which stocks I should re-invest, I have separate 4 lacs exclusively for IPO's for 2 demat accounts.
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  #8  
Old 26th December 2010, 11:52 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by niki_baroda View Post
Thanks "kris mar" for advice , Will you tell me after selling I will get approx 1.5 lacs surplus, in which stocks I should re-invest, I have separate 4 lacs exclusively for IPO's for 2 demat accounts.
I would suggest that you invest the money in a good balanced mutual fund such as HDFC Prudence over the next 6-12 months systematically.

Do offset your capital gains against the losses booked.

The losses can be carried forward and offset to gains for the next 8 years as per the current tax structure.
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  #9  
Old 27th December 2010, 12:01 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kris_mar View Post
I would suggest that you invest the money in a good balanced mutual fund such as HDFC Prudence over the next 6-12 months systematically.

Do offset your Capital gains against the losses booked.

The losses can be carried forward and offset to gains for the next 8 years as per the current tax structure.
Thanks kris, However I already have 6 lacs in many good MF's which I am not touching since 4 years and have given me 11 % CAGR Return even considering BIG market dip in 2008.

Above 1.5 lacs are exclusively for secondary/primary market , But I have 4 lacs with 2 demats for primary market hence I wish to invest 1.5 lacs surplus in equity market, so guide me now.
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  #10  
Old 27th December 2010, 12:43 AM
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Stocks are more dynamic, buying and holding may not always work.

You will have to put in the work yourself for finding good companies at good valuations.

Learn how to read a balance sheet, return ratios, cash flow etc.

Do not invest in haste, have a measured approach.

Invest only in companies that you completely understand.

Until then, a mutual fund can continue giving you 11-12 % return and as you gain more confidence, you can start buying stocks.

You can start with sector leaders like SBI,HDFC Bank,Asian Paints,Castrol,Larsen,Infosys,Tata Motors,Bajaj Auto,Nestle,Titan etc. and work your way through.
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  #11  
Old 27th December 2010, 07:30 AM
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Sometimes it is good to just sit out and just observe. Holding cash is also a position.

Your portfolio has too many eggs in a basket. By asking advice you have proved you are not sure that what you bought is right!

Look for selecting only 5 stocks in portfolio. You can also only look for index ETF for nifty!

Rest is your call!

WARREN Buffet says buying or selling stock is like taking a punch on a card and you are allowed only 20 punches.
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  #12  
Old 29th December 2010, 08:45 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kris_mar View Post
I have looked at your portfolio and this is what I would do:

1)Indian Bank -> HOLD.

2)Indiabulls -> HOLD.

3)INTERFACE FINANCIAL SERVICES LTD -> EXIT.

4)Reliance Capital -> EXIT.

5)Jaiprakash Associates -> EXIT.

6)ABB -> EXIT.

7)Crompton Greaves -> HOLD.

8)Larsen -> HOLD.

9)Punj Lloyd -> EXIT.

10)Gold BEEs -> HOLD.

11)Educomp -> EXIT.

12)INTRASOFT TECHNOLOGIES LTD -> EXIT.

13)Satyam Computers -> EXIT.

14)Austral COke -> EXIT.

15)ISPAT -> EXIT.

16)BS Transcomm. -> EXIT.

17)Everest Kanto -> EXIT.

18)Geodesic -> EXIT.

19)Lanco Infra -> EXIT.

20)MOIL -> HOLD.

21)Nandan Exim -> EXIT.

22)Tarapur Transformers Ltd -> EXIT.

23)Vishal Exports -> EXIT.

24)Lotus Eye Care -> EXIT.

25)Mavens Biotech -> EXIT.

26)Indiabulls Power -> EXIT.

27)Indosolar -> EXIT.

28)J P Hydro -> EXIT.

29)NHPC -> EXIT.

30)NTPC -> HOLD.

31)Reliance Power -> EXIT.

32)Suryachakra Power -> EXIT.

33)Suzlon -> EXIT.

34)Reliance Ind. -> HOLD.

35)Gujarat Pipavav Port -> EXIT.

36)Pipavav Shipyard -> EXIT.

37)SCI -> EXIT.

38)Bharti Airtel -> HOLD.

39)Reliance Communications -> EXIT.

Sometimes when things get this messy, one needs to reassess and start again.

"Good judgment comes from experience, and often experience comes from bad judgment."- Rita Mae Brown.
I don't know based on what parameters did you make HOLD/EXIT call. However in your EXIT list some of the companies are fundamentally good. Like Educomp, EKC, Lanco Infra and Geodesic.

Geodesic, if the numbers reported by the company is correct, then it is a very good buy at current level. Looks like market doesn't believe that company numbers otherwise FY11 half yearly EPS of around 16 and trading at around 95 is unbelievable.
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  #13  
Old 29th December 2010, 08:33 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by paran View Post
I don't know based on what parameters did you make HOLD/EXIT call. However in your EXIT list some of the companies are fundamentally good. Like Educomp, EKC, Lanco Infra and Geodesic.

Geodesic, if the numbers reported by the company is correct, then it is a very good buy at current level. Looks like market doesn't believe that company numbers otherwise FY11 half yearly EPS of around 16 and trading at around 95 is unbelievable.
An opinion was asked and I gave it, it's upto the person holding the stocks to ultimately make a decision themselves.

Educomp in my opinion is well past its prime with a market cap of almost 5000 Crores, there are many better alternatives.

Everest Kanto has been a disappointment with the numbers not coming through and Even with improved expectations of FY12 the upside seems limited.

I would prefer IGL, Gujarat Gas, GSPL over EKC.

Geodesic is a sell because 'mundu' sucks and as you yourself said there are some concerns whether the numbers are veritable.

Lanco is high gestation, high debt and the portfolio already has Larsen and NTPC which are much better options than Lanco.
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  #14  
Old 31st December 2010, 10:05 PM
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I am more concern for 2 stocks , RELPOWER - Average @ 263 bought in IPO and during IPO period & SUZLON - Average @ 80 Average out at all down level, but never come up , What are the long term prospects? , Shall I book heavy loss and switchover to other or Hold to reduce losses for long term?
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  #15  
Old 7th January 2011, 12:14 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by niki_baroda View Post
I am more concern for 2 stocks , RELPOWER - Average @ 263 bought in IPO and during IPO period & SUZLON - Average @ 80 Average out at all down level, but never come up , What are the long term prospects? , Shall I book heavy loss and switchover to other or Hold to reduce losses for long term?
Go through the threads on the Individual Stocks forum.

Suzlon Energy.

Reliance Power.
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  #16  
Old 27th January 2011, 10:12 PM
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Default 1 month comperative performance of Niki's Portfolio



January month performance is very bad , Sensex is down by approx -8.9 % & My portfolio value down by -10.5%

I wish to hold shares for long period to review performance month wise.
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