Quote:
Originally Posted by Alchemist
In the long term, gold performs even worse than a fixed deposit.
Only periods where gold can be expected to give good returns, are times of excessive inflation and uncertainty.
The returns given by gold funds will be similar to the returns given by gold.
I would not recommend anyone to invest in gold for the long term.
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Alchemist, your views quoted above are clear but please explain a slightly different aspect of the gold ETFs in particular and all ETFs in general.
Over the last few days, there has been a discrepancy in the gold ETF and gold spot (and future) prices. ET claims that's due to falling inventory with "gold banks". Apparently, there is a similar discrepancy in The USA as well.
One explanation offered was that gold at lower prices attracted buyers who finished off the inventory. (This implies they did so without raising the prices!). What do you think is going on?
A more general question:
Let's say a brand new gold ETF is launched.
The promoters buy gold with the money they get in their IFO. They deposit the gold with a custodian. They declare that they now have a total of XYZ units at a NAV of ABC. Of these XYZ units, IFO subscribers will be allotted 100% based on their subscription. The units are listed on the NSE.
Trading begins. I can buy or sell units through screen-based trading via my broker and my demat a/c will be credited/debited accordingly.
Now the question is: At what point, post-listing, does the AMC decide to buy more gold or sell gold it is holding? Does it then create or extinguish units?
Can or does the AMC just sit on its hands and let the issued units be traded without reference to spot prices? Is this how differences arise between the spot and ETF?