Quote:
Originally Posted by Alchemist
I don't think the difference will be much.
Is it?
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The Outlook Profit article that I started this thread about has data for actual gold, and for Benchmark, Kotak, and Reliance gold ETFs (but not UTI) versus the Nifty for the period 03/12/2007 till 11/02/2008.
Now, the way the mag has crunched the numbers is to show values relative to 100 such that all the funds and the Nifty are given the value "100" for 03/12/2007.
From their graph, after mid-Jan, the Nifty falls below 100 whereas gold and the gold funds rise almost continuously.
However, on or about Jan 22, when the Nifty tanked big-time, the mag shows
Reliance gold ETF losing the most (can't give values since the mag's labels aren't that detailed).
Their last few days of data (ending on 11/02/2008) show the
Kotak gold ETF falling by about 5% whereas the other ETFs and gold rose a couple of per cent.
I downloaded the closing prices of Benchmark, Kotak, Reliance, and UTI gold ETFs from NSE for 01/01/2008 till 14/03/2008. I didn't search for figures for the metal itself.
So the data that I downloaded covers the months of Jan and Feb 2008 and March till date with the Sensex instead of the Nifty.
I then entered these prices against the Sensex closing values for the same period and plotted the data using 01/01/2008 values as "100" the way the mag did for 03/12/2007 values.
I think I should see the same pattern as the mag shows even though I started from 01/01/2008, but I don't.
Instead,
as Alchemist suggested there is minimal difference among the ETFs which is a relief. Even the Kotak ETF for the period before 11/02/2008 doesn't show the 5% loss that the mag shows. So what's up?
But I still would like a second opinion on the mag's graph if anyone gets round to it (Outlook Profit, p20, issued dated 21 March 2008).